For most teams, the 2014 baseball season has reached the numerical halfway point. Usually, the halfway point is used as a good measuring stick to determine how good a team is.
A team always wants to be above .500 at the halfway point. If you’re not above .500 or a few games below that mark, you can almost guarantee you’re not making the postseason.
The Reds reached that point last Sunday, and were 43-38 after they finished a four-game sweep at San Francisco. (Of course, they followed that up with three straight losses to the Padres). They’re hovering around .500, which is about right for the quality of baseball they have played. They’re not a bad team, but not an elite team either. They’re just average.
Now, let’s take a look and see where MLB teams stand in their respective divisions right now, a week before the All-Star break.
The Diamondbacks, Rockies, Padres, Cubs, Phillies, Mets, Astros, Rangers and Twins are all well under .500 and at least ten games back in their division races. That pretty much eliminates them from contending for the rest of the year.
I’m giving the benefit of the doubt to these teams: the Marlins, White Sox, Indians, Red Sox and Rays. These teams are currently all under .500, but they are less than ten games back in their division. I honestly don’t think any of these teams will make the playoffs, but there’s always that one team that defies the odds. (Is it crazy that out of these five teams, the Indians and Marlins are closest to .500?)
This leaves the teams over .500 and therefore still in the playoff race, whether it be in the division or the wild card. These teams are the Giants, Reds, Cardinals, Pirates, Nationals, Mariners, Angels, Royals, Yankees and Blue Jays. (Angels and Mariners(!?) lead the AL wild card, while the Giants and Nationals have the NL wild card spots at the moment).
Finally, you have the teams leading their divisions: Dodgers, Brewers, Braves, A’s, Tigers and Orioles. All of these teams obviously have the best chance to make the playoffs at this point, but many of these teams are holding onto the slimmest of leads.
So, at the halfway point of the season, all division races are up for grabs, which is how it usually is with 80-something games to play. The two really close races are in the NL West and East. The Giants are only a half game back of the Dodgers and the Nationals are a half game back of the Braves. The NL Central though might be the best division right now. Four of five teams are above .500 and within six games of each other.
Meanwhile, in the AL, Oakland is the top team in baseball, but the Angels are right on their heels. And we can’t forget about the surprise Mariners, that are 7.0 games back, but definitely are in the wild card mix. In the AL Central, it would appear to be a two-team race between the Tigers and the Royals, but we can’t count out Cleveland just yet. And in the East, Baltimore and Toronto are battling it out with the Yankees right behind them.
What it comes down to is that fans are in for some exciting baseball in the second half of the season. If you know baseball, you know some teams are going to catch fire and go on a prolonged winning streak while other teams are going to hit some walls (figuratively). I, for one, can’t wait to watch it all unfold.